Plymouth Argyle 1-1 Queens Park Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 9 Apr 2024

Plymouth Argyle
1-1 HT 0-0
Queens Park Rangers
📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Plymouth Argyle vs Queens Park Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
21.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 33% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.2
1/2
11%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
8%
5.76
X/2
14%
5.21
X/X
11%
4.02
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.63
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+4.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.0pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Plymouth Argyle v Queens Park Rangers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -18%
1.24/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.22
+41% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 76%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
16.6 Crosses 18.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Plymouth Argyle vs Queens Park Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.41
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
208 Passes 550
66% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 41
8 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.12.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
05.09.2020 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 3-2 HT 1-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNLK
09.03.2010 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
15.08.2009 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-1 HT 0-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
25.04.2009 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
13.12.2008 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-1 HT 0-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL

Plymouth Argyle 1-1 Queens Park Rangers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
1-1
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
0.47 xG 1.62
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
365 Passes 278
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 27
25 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Plymouth Argyle vs Queens Park Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Argyle and Queens Park Rangers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Queens Park Rangers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 55% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 45%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.47 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 1.00 for Queens Park Rangers.

What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Queens Park Rangers?

Plymouth Argyle 1-1 Queens Park Rangers in the England - Championship on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Queens Park Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Queens Park Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 33%, draw 26%, Queens Park Rangers 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Queens Park Rangers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queens Park Rangers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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