Millwall vs Leicester City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Millwall v Leicester City — Team-Based Signals
Millwall vs Leicester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-1
Millwall
İNCL
0-2
HT 0-0
Leicester City
İNLK
1-0
HT 0-0
Leicester City
FAK
1-3
HT 0-1
Leicester City
İNCL
3-0
HT 1-0
Millwall
İNCL
Millwall 1-0 Leicester City — Actual Match Statistics
Millwall squeezed past Leicester City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Leicester City at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Millwall had 28% of the ball to Leicester City's 72%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.50 to 0.94 — on chances, Leicester City could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Millwall and 2.33 for Leicester City.
What was the final score of Millwall vs Leicester City?
Millwall 1-0 Leicester City in the England - Championship on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Millwall vs Leicester City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Millwall 26%, draw 23%, Leicester City 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Leicester City) went the other way.