Leeds United 0-0 Sunderland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
4.77
2-3 Goals
42%
1.92
4-5 Goals
21%
2.82
6+ Goals
13%
7.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.77 — our 24% vs market 16.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.6
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.25
X/1
23%
3.61
X/2
9%
16.55
X/X
9%
7.16
2/1
9%
21.85
2/2
5%
12.6
2/X
7%
19.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
69%
-10.2pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.1pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.0pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
2.20/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.82
-6% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +16%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
447 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
36.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
20.4 Crosses 11.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sunderland
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.65 xG 1.22
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
350 Passes 272
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.12.2023 Sunderland Sunderland 1-0 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
07.04.2018 Leeds United Leeds United 1-1 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
19.08.2017 Sunderland Sunderland 0-2 HT 0-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
04.01.2015 Sunderland Sunderland 1-0 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United FAK
26.12.2006 Sunderland Sunderland 2-0 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
13.09.2006 Leeds United Leeds United 0-3 HT 0-2 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
0-0
AWAY Sunderland
0.55 xG 0.24
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 2
540 Passes 197
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs Sunderland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United and Sunderland played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Leeds United carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Leeds United had 69% of the ball to Sunderland's 31%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.55 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sunderland led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Leeds United and 1.33 for Sunderland.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs Sunderland?

Leeds United 0-0 Sunderland in the England - Championship on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Sunderland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 58%, draw 23%, Sunderland 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Leeds United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leeds United) ✓ BTTS No
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