Southampton vs Coventry Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Southampton v Coventry — Team-Based Signals
Southampton vs Coventry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Southampton
İNCL
1-1
HT 0-1
Coventry
FAK
4-0
HT 2-0
Coventry
İNCL
1-2
HT 1-0
Southampton
FAK
2-4
HT 0-2
Southampton
İNCL
1-1
HT 0-0
Coventry
İNCL
Southampton 2-1 Coventry — Actual Match Statistics
Southampton squeezed past Coventry 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Southampton as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Southampton had 60% of the ball to Coventry's 40%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.49 to 1.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southampton had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Southampton and 1.00 for Coventry.
What was the final score of Southampton vs Coventry?
Southampton 2-1 Coventry in the England - Championship on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Southampton vs Coventry?
Before kick-off our model rated a Southampton win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Southampton 51%, draw 23%, Coventry 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southampton), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.