Espanyol 2-1 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.54
Over
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.3
2-3
42%
1.75
4-5
21%
4.9
6+
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.41
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.95
X/1
16%
4.07
X/2
7%
9.02
X/X
16%
3.91
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
8%
8.13
2/X
6%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.7pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid The Market 23%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -23%
1.28/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.70
-12% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
21.0 Crosses 17.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Valladolid
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.32 xG 0.96
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
286 Passes 358
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.08.2024 Valladolid Valladolid 1-0 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
11.05.2024 Valladolid Valladolid 0-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS2
05.12.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 3-1 HT 2-0 Valladolid Valladolid İSPK
14.10.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 2-0 HT 2-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
05.03.2023 Valladolid Valladolid 2-1 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
16.10.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 1-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol
2-1
AWAY Valladolid
1.01 xG 1.25
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
276 Passes 543
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Espanyol vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol edged past Valladolid 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Espanyol as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Espanyol had 36% of the ball to Valladolid's 64%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.01 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Espanyol and 0.67 for Valladolid.

What was the final score of Espanyol vs Valladolid?

Espanyol 2-1 Valladolid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Espanyol win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 50%, draw 29%, Valladolid 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Espanyol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Espanyol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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