Valladolid 1-0 Espanyol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 19 Aug 2024

Valladolid
1-0 HT 1-0
Espanyol
📅19/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Valladolid vs Espanyol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
25%
2.83
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.09
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
6.1
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.34
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.05
X/1
16%
4.58
X/2
9%
6.57
X/X
10%
3.3
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
16%
5.56
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
32%
-6.4pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.7pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valladolid v Espanyol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valladolid EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.31/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.47
-29% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
22.8 Crosses 16.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Valladolid vs Espanyol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valladolid
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Espanyol
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.03 xG 1.42
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
364 Passes 244
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.05.2024 Valladolid Valladolid 0-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS2
05.12.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 3-1 HT 2-0 Valladolid Valladolid İSPK
14.10.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 2-0 HT 2-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
05.03.2023 Valladolid Valladolid 2-1 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
16.10.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 1-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
23.02.2020 Valladolid Valladolid 2-1 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1

Valladolid 1-0 Espanyol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valladolid
1-0
AWAY Espanyol
0.80 xG 0.66
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
319 Passes 390
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valladolid vs Espanyol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valladolid edged past Espanyol 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valladolid as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Valladolid had 45% of the ball to Espanyol's 55%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.80 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Valladolid and 1.33 for Espanyol.

What was the final score of Valladolid vs Espanyol?

Valladolid 1-0 Espanyol in the Spain - Primera Liga on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valladolid vs Espanyol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valladolid win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Valladolid 44%, draw 25%, Espanyol 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valladolid), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valladolid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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