Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Villarreal v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Villarreal
İS1
2-2
HT 1-1
Atletico Madrid
İS1
0-2
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İS1
2-2
HT 1-1
Atletico Madrid
İS1
2-2
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İS1
Villarreal 2-2 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal and Atletico Madrid shared the points in a 2-2 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Atletico Madrid at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Villarreal had 45% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 55%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.79 to 1.11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Villarreal and 1.83 for Atletico Madrid.
What was the final score of Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid?
Villarreal 2-2 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 32%, draw 26%, Atletico Madrid 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.