Sampdoria vs Cesena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sampdoria v Cesena — Team-Based Signals
Sampdoria vs Cesena Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Sampdoria 1-2 Cesena — Actual Match Statistics
Cesena edged past Sampdoria 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 29%) promised a tight game; Cesena found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sampdoria had 59% of the ball to Cesena's 41%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.77 to 1.54.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sampdoria had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Sampdoria and 1.40 for Cesena.
What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Cesena?
Sampdoria 1-2 Cesena in the Italy - Serie B on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sampdoria vs Cesena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 39%, draw 33%, Cesena 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.