Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-2 Darmstadt 98 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.1
Over Pick
62%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
19%
3.99
2-3
36%
1.83
4-5
30%
2.95
6+
15%
9.11
Value flag · 4-5 at 2.95 — our 30% vs market 27.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.26
1/2
12%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
18%
5.53
X/2
10%
6.37
X/X
10%
5.13
2/1
5%
24.3
2/2
10%
4.05
2/X
8%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 12% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
44%
-6.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
56%
+6.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Darmstadt 98 The Market 37%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +10%
1.63/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.39
+4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
22.3 Crosses 18.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.05 xG 1.54
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
341 Passes 325
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.08.2024 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-2 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
16.04.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
08.10.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
06.05.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 HT 2-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
03.12.2021 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-3 HT 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
04.04.2021 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-2 HT 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
2-2
AWAY Darmstadt 98
0.95 xG 2.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
320 Passes 353
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 27
27 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Darmstadt 98
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf and Darmstadt 98 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Düsseldorf at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 48% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 52%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 0.95 to 2.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 0.67 for Darmstadt 98.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Darmstadt 98?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-2 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Darmstadt 98?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 44%, draw 23%, Darmstadt 98 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
17 Jan 2025
20:30 Jahn Regensburg vs Hannover 96 Analysis →