Darmstadt 98 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.0
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
13%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.44
1/2
8%
24.45
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
13%
6.71
X/2
22%
5.09
X/X
10%
4.93
2/1
5%
30.5
2/2
15%
3.0
2/X
7%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 46%
+11% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.71/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.06
+45% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +55%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
19.1 Crosses 20.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.84 xG 1.04
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
356 Passes 306
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
08.10.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
06.05.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 HT 2-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
03.12.2021 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-3 HT 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
04.04.2021 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-2 HT 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
04.12.2020 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-2 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
0-2
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
0.65 xG 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
351 Passes 469
84% Pass Accuracy 89%
21 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf beat Darmstadt 98 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fortuna Düsseldorf as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 45% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 55%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.65 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 1.83 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Darmstadt 98 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 31%, draw 25%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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