Hannover 96 II 2-1 Erzgebirge Aue — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.18
Over Pick
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.3
2-3
41%
1.9
4-5
24%
3.02
6+
11%
9.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.55
1/2
8%
22.55
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
10%
6.86
X/2
11%
5.09
X/X
10%
5.43
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
22%
2.88
2/X
9%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.55 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.8pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 II The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue The Market 48%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
0.86/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.87
-34% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
257 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.9 Crosses 26.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hannover 96 II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2024 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 HT 2-1 Hannover 96 II Hannover 96 II AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96 II
2-1
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
245 Passes 214
69% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 II vs Erzgebirge Aue
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hannover 96 II squeezed past Erzgebirge Aue 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Erzgebirge Aue at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hannover 96 II had 53% of the ball to Erzgebirge Aue's 47%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 II vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Hannover 96 II 2-1 Erzgebirge Aue in the Germany - 3rd Division on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 II vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Before kick-off our model rated an Erzgebirge Aue win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 II 33%, draw 25%, Erzgebirge Aue 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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