Boulogne 2-2 Dijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 17 Jan 2025

Boulogne
2-2 HT 1-0
Dijon
📅17/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Boulogne vs Dijon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.58
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
14%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.58 — our 33% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.36
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
16%
5.03
X/2
11%
6.28
X/X
12%
4.06
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
15%
4.72
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.9pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boulogne v Dijon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boulogne EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.12/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.29
-14% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Boulogne vs Dijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boulogne
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dijon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
10 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 3
The Meetings
20.05.2011 Dijon Dijon 1-1 HT 0-1 Boulogne Boulogne FR2
21.12.2010 Boulogne Boulogne 0-1 HT 0-0 Dijon Dijon FR2
13.02.2009 Dijon Dijon 1-0 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR2
29.08.2008 Boulogne Boulogne 3-0 HT 3-0 Dijon Dijon FR2
18.04.2008 Boulogne Boulogne 0-1 HT 0-1 Dijon Dijon FR2
09.11.2007 Dijon Dijon 0-2 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR2

Boulogne 2-2 Dijon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boulogne
2-2
AWAY Dijon
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boulogne vs Dijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boulogne and Dijon couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Boulogne at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boulogne had 46% of the ball to Dijon's 54%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dijon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boulogne and 0.67 for Dijon.

What was the final score of Boulogne vs Dijon?

Boulogne 2-2 Dijon in the France - National League 1 on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boulogne vs Dijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boulogne win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Boulogne 43%, draw 25%, Dijon 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Boulogne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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