Orleans 1-1 Chateauroux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 17 Jan 2025

Orleans
1-1 HT 1-0
Chateauroux
📅17/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
France - National League 1 – 2025/2026

Orleans vs Chateauroux Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
16.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.92
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.95
X/1
20%
3.78
X/2
8%
11.8
X/X
10%
5.13
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
8%
10.6
2/X
6%
19.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Orleans v Chateauroux — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orleans EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 19%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -13%
1.92/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/2.00
+6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Orleans vs Chateauroux Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orleans
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Chateauroux
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-1 HT 0-1 Orleans Orleans FR3
22.09.2023 Orleans Orleans 2-2 HT 2-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
24.02.2023 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 0-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
16.09.2022 Orleans Orleans 1-1 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
15.04.2022 Orleans Orleans 1-2 HT 1-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
19.11.2021 Chateauroux Chateauroux 4-1 HT 0-1 Orleans Orleans FR3
POST-MATCH Orleans vs Chateauroux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orleans and Chateauroux couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Orleans carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chateauroux led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Orleans and 2.00 for Chateauroux.

What was the final score of Orleans vs Chateauroux?

Orleans 1-1 Chateauroux in the France - National League 1 on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orleans vs Chateauroux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orleans win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Orleans 56%, draw 23%, Chateauroux 21%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Orleans) ✗ BTTS No
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