Cape Town City 2-1 Richards Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
24%
2.77
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.33
Over 2.5
35%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.67
No
63%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.66
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
13%
8.25
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
32%
-8.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
72%
-6.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
28%
+6.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
33%
+3.9pp
63%
BTTS No
67%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cape Town City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.21/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.10
-1% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
19.3 Crosses 19.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cape Town City
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Richards Bay
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.70 xG 0.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
339 Passes 300
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFLK
18.05.2024 Cape Town City Cape Town City 3-1 HT 1-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
29.10.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 1-3 HT 0-3 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
13.05.2023 Cape Town City Cape Town City 2-0 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
19.10.2022 Richards Bay Richards Bay 1-0 HT 0-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cape Town City
2-1
AWAY Richards Bay
1.01 xG 0.95
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 10
313 Passes 268
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cape Town City vs Richards Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cape Town City nicked a narrow win over Richards Bay 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cape Town City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cape Town City had 52% of the ball to Richards Bay's 48%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.01 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cape Town City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Cape Town City and 0.60 for Richards Bay.

What was the final score of Cape Town City vs Richards Bay?

Cape Town City 2-1 Richards Bay in the South Afrika - Premier League on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cape Town City vs Richards Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cape Town City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cape Town City 45%, draw 24%, Richards Bay 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cape Town City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cape Town City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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