Cape Town City 3-1 Richards Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
42%
2.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
14%
5.83
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.16 — our 42% vs market 39.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.2pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cape Town City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -17%
1.18/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.09
-15% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.9 Crosses 18.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cape Town City
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Richards Bay
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.53 xG 0.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
343 Passes 317
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 1-3 HT 0-3 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
13.05.2023 Cape Town City Cape Town City 2-0 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
19.10.2022 Richards Bay Richards Bay 1-0 HT 0-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cape Town City
3-1
AWAY Richards Bay
2.21 xG 1.89
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
325 Passes 251
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cape Town City vs Richards Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cape Town City saw off Richards Bay 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Cape Town City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cape Town City had 54% of the ball to Richards Bay's 46%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 2.21 to 1.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cape Town City had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cape Town City and 0.67 for Richards Bay.

What was the final score of Cape Town City vs Richards Bay?

Cape Town City 3-1 Richards Bay in the South Afrika - Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cape Town City vs Richards Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cape Town City win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Cape Town City 35%, draw 32%, Richards Bay 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cape Town City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cape Town City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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