Stellenbosch FC 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.4pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.18/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.90
-11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +26%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
16.0 Crosses 16.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stellenbosch FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.24 xG 1.81
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
195 Passes 498
69% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
27.09.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-1 HT 2-1 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
15.04.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
05.03.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
24.08.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 HT 2-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
14.05.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 0-3 HT 0-2 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stellenbosch FC
0-1
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
1.23 xG 2.11
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
173 Passes 455
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 38
9 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stellenbosch FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns nicked a narrow win over Stellenbosch FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Stellenbosch FC had 32% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 68%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.23 to 2.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stellenbosch FC and 1.67 for Mamelodi Sundowns.

What was the final score of Stellenbosch FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Stellenbosch FC 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stellenbosch FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stellenbosch FC 30%, draw 26%, Mamelodi Sundowns 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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