Smouha 1-0 Masr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Cup, 17 Jan 2025

Smouha
1-0
Masr
📅17/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Egypt - Cup – 2024/2025

Smouha vs Masr Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
28%
2.7
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
3%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.1pp
28%
Draw
34%
-5.5pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.0pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Smouha v Masr — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smouha EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Masr EU Bookmakers 37%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.00
-26% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
314 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
– Crosses 16.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3

Smouha vs Masr Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smouha
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Masr
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.73 xG 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 Passes 329
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.05.2024 Smouha Smouha 1-2 HT 0-1 Masr MSR
28.10.2023 Masr 1-1 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
31.10.2020 Smouha Smouha 2-0 HT 2-0 Masr MSR
08.02.2020 Masr 0-1 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR

Smouha 1-0 Masr — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smouha
1-0
AWAY Masr
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Smouha vs Masr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha nicked a narrow win over Masr 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 31%) promised a tight game; Smouha found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Smouha had 42% of the ball to Masr's 58%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Smouha had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Smouha and 0.75 for Masr.

What was the final score of Smouha vs Masr?

Smouha 1-0 Masr in the Egypt - Cup on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smouha vs Masr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Smouha 40%, draw 28%, Masr 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smouha), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Smouha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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