Şanlıurfaspor 0-1 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.39
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 32% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.79
1/2
6%
23.85
1/X
9%
14.15
X/1
13%
7.68
X/2
15%
4.59
X/X
12%
4.81
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.62
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
26%
+9.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
35%
Away Win
48%
-12.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 52%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.02/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.29
+13% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
19.6 Crosses 16.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
2W-0D-1L
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.53 xG 1.85
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 5
258 Passes 491
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 32
5 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
11.08.2024 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-0 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
16.02.2013 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
30.09.2012 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 3-2 HT 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
0-1
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
0.73 xG 1.66
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
280 Passes 453
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Şanlıurfaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MKE Ankaragücü nicked a narrow win over Şanlıurfaspor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; MKE Ankaragücü found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Şanlıurfaspor had 41% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 59%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.73 to 1.66.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Şanlıurfaspor had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Şanlıurfaspor and 1.33 for MKE Ankaragücü.

What was the final score of Şanlıurfaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Şanlıurfaspor 0-1 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şanlıurfaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Şanlıurfaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Şanlıurfaspor 36%, draw 29%, MKE Ankaragücü 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Şanlıurfaspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Şanlıurfaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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