Binh Duong 2-1 Binh Dinh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Binh Duong EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Binh Dinh EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
1.79/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.95
+24% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +44%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Binh Duong
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Binh Dinh
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh 2-2 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİETK
25.06.2024 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-1 HT 1-0 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh VİET
29.10.2023 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh 0-2 HT 0-1 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
12.02.2023 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh 1-0 HT 0-0 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
28.08.2022 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh 4-1 HT 1-0 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
30.07.2022 Binh Duong Binh Duong 2-3 HT 1-1 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Binh Duong
2-1
AWAY Binh Dinh
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Binh Duong vs Binh Dinh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Binh Duong squeezed past Binh Dinh 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Binh Duong as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Binh Duong had 60% of the ball to Binh Dinh's 40%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Binh Dinh led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Binh Duong and 1.83 for Binh Dinh.

What was the final score of Binh Duong vs Binh Dinh?

Binh Duong 2-1 Binh Dinh in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Binh Duong vs Binh Dinh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Binh Duong win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Binh Duong 45%, draw 27%, Binh Dinh 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Binh Duong) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Binh Duong) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VİET More Vietnam - V-League 1
17 Jan 2025
13:00 Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Ho Chi Minh Analysis →