Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-2 Ho Chi Minh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
26%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.0pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.1pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ho Chi Minh EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
1.22/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.37
-5% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ho Chi Minh
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 4-1 HT 1-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
09.03.2024 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-1 HT 2-1 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
25.06.2023 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 0-0 HT 0-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
09.10.2022 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-2 HT 0-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
16.07.2022 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 0-2 HT 0-2 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
28.03.2021 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 3-0 HT 1-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai
2-2
AWAY Ho Chi Minh
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Ho Chi Minh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoang Anh Gia Lai and Ho Chi Minh shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hoang Anh Gia Lai had 41% of the ball to Ho Chi Minh's 59%, shots finished 7-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hoang Anh Gia Lai had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hoang Anh Gia Lai and 1.17 for Ho Chi Minh.

What was the final score of Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Ho Chi Minh?

Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-2 Ho Chi Minh in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Ho Chi Minh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoang Anh Gia Lai win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hoang Anh Gia Lai 38%, draw 33%, Ho Chi Minh 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hoang Anh Gia Lai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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