Ho Chi Minh 4-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.4pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ho Chi Minh EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoang Anh Gia Lai EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
1.42/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.17
+14% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ho Chi Minh
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hoang Anh Gia Lai
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-1 HT 2-1 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
25.06.2023 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 0-0 HT 0-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
09.10.2022 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-2 HT 0-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
16.07.2022 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 0-2 HT 0-2 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
28.03.2021 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 3-0 HT 1-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
30.10.2020 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 2-1 HT 2-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ho Chi Minh
4-1
AWAY Hoang Anh Gia Lai
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ho Chi Minh vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ho Chi Minh ran out comfortable winners over Hoang Anh Gia Lai 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Ho Chi Minh found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ho Chi Minh had 47% of the ball to Hoang Anh Gia Lai's 53%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hoang Anh Gia Lai led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ho Chi Minh and 1.50 for Hoang Anh Gia Lai.

What was the final score of Ho Chi Minh vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?

Ho Chi Minh 4-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ho Chi Minh vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ho Chi Minh win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ho Chi Minh 38%, draw 27%, Hoang Anh Gia Lai 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ho Chi Minh) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ho Chi Minh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VİET More Vietnam - V-League 1
25 May 2024
13:00 Quang Nam vs Ha Noi T&T Analysis →