Stockport County vs Rotherham United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Stockport County v Rotherham United — Team-Based Signals
Stockport County vs Rotherham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Stockport County 3-2 Rotherham United — Actual Match Statistics
Stockport County nicked a narrow win over Rotherham United 3-2. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, possession split 64% to 36% in Stockport County's favour, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.53 to 0.83 — on chances created, Stockport County won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Stockport County against 1.67 for Rotherham United.
Stockport County vs Rotherham United Result & Final Score
Stockport County 3 - 2 Rotherham United in the England - 1st Division on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Stockport County vs Rotherham United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 61%, draw 22%, Rotherham United 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.