Sunderland vs Crystal Palace Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sunderland v Crystal Palace — Team-Based Signals
Sunderland vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sunderland 2-1 Crystal Palace — Actual Match Statistics
Sunderland found just enough to beat Crystal Palace 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
From a near-even 38% / 30% / 32% read, it was Sunderland who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: possession split 57% to 43% in Sunderland's favour, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.71 to 0.50 — on chances created, Sunderland won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Sunderland against 1.50 for Crystal Palace.
Sunderland vs Crystal Palace Result & Final Score
Sunderland 2 - 1 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sunderland vs Crystal Palace Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 38%, draw 30%, Crystal Palace 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sunderland) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.