Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Liverpool v Burnley — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs Burnley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Liverpool 1-1 Burnley — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool and Burnley couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
This one beat our numbers. Liverpool carried 80% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (63%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Liverpool had 73% of the ball to Burnley's 27%, shots finished 32-7, expected goals 3.18 to 0.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Liverpool and 0.17 for Burnley.
Liverpool vs Burnley Result & Final Score
Liverpool 1 - 1 Burnley in the England - Premier League on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 80%, draw 13%, Burnley 7%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.