Osasuna 3-2 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 17 Jan 2026

Osasuna
3 - 2 HT 1 - 1
Real Oviedo
📅17/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Osasuna vs Real Oviedo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.74
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
18%
4.55
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.69
Over
43%
2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.59
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
19%
4.38
6+
3%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.29
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.25
X/1
20%
4.08
X/2
8%
9.77
X/X
17%
4.38
2/1
3%
28.0
2/2
9%
8.6
2/X
5%
17.2
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Osasuna v Real Oviedo — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Osasuna The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo The Market 22%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.50 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.00
0.82 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.70
Average Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Bad
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
28 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3

Osasuna vs Real Oviedo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.92 xG 0.70
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
277 Passes 250
69% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.11.2025 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
08.06.2019 Osasuna Osasuna 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
20.10.2018 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-1 HT 0-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS2
12.05.2018 Osasuna Osasuna 2-1 HT 0-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
10.12.2017 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS2
04.06.2016 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-5 HT 0-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS2

Osasuna 3-2 Real Oviedo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna
3 - 2
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.37 xG 1.34
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
261 Passes 264
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Osasuna vs Real Oviedo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Osasuna came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Real Oviedo 3-2. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Osasuna as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: possession split 51% to 49% in Osasuna's favour, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.37 to 1.34.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Osasuna against 0.67 for Real Oviedo.

Osasuna vs Real Oviedo Result & Final Score

Osasuna 3 - 2 Real Oviedo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Osasuna vs Real Oviedo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 55%, draw 27%, Real Oviedo 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osasuna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Osasuna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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