Napoli 1-0 Sassuolo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 17 Jan 2026

Napoli
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Sassuolo
📅17/01/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Napoli vs Sassuolo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
67%
1.46
Draw
21%
3.95
Away
12%
6.07
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.77
Over
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.76
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
21%
4.09
6+
5%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.83
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
4%
19.0
X/1
22%
3.68
X/2
5%
13.65
X/X
13%
5.18
2/1
3%
27.5
2/2
6%
12.85
2/X
4%
22.25
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Napoli v Sassuolo — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Napoli The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo The Market 16%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.97 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.99
0.61 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.19
Average Attack Strength Great
Average Defense Strength Weak
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
415 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
31 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2

Napoli vs Sassuolo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Sassuolo
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.26 xG 0.62
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
578 Passes 299
91% Pass Accuracy 82%
36 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.08.2025 Sassuolo Sassuolo 0-2 HT 0-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
28.02.2024 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-6 HT 1-3 Napoli Napoli İTA
27.08.2023 Napoli Napoli 2-0 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
17.02.2023 Sassuolo Sassuolo 0-2 HT 0-2 Napoli Napoli İTA
29.10.2022 Napoli Napoli 4-0 HT 3-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
30.04.2022 Napoli Napoli 6-1 HT 4-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA

Napoli 1-0 Sassuolo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli
1 - 0
AWAY Sassuolo
0.58 xG 0.91
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
416 Passes 369
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Napoli vs Sassuolo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Napoli found just enough to beat Sassuolo 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Napoli had 53% of the ball to Sassuolo's 47%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 0.58 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Napoli and 0.33 for Sassuolo.

Napoli vs Sassuolo Result & Final Score

Napoli 1 - 0 Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie A on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Napoli vs Sassuolo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Napoli 67%, draw 21%, Sassuolo 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Napoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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