Sassuolo 1-6 Napoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
49%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.29
1/2
6%
22.3
1/X
4%
14.35
X/1
13%
8.75
X/2
16%
4.24
X/X
11%
5.37
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.31
2/X
8%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli EU Bookmakers 56%
-1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.01/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.03
-2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 82%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
15.0 Crosses 16.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Napoli
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.96 xG 2.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
364 Passes 500
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.08.2023 Napoli Napoli 2-0 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
17.02.2023 Sassuolo Sassuolo 0-2 HT 0-2 Napoli Napoli İTA
29.10.2022 Napoli Napoli 4-0 HT 3-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
30.04.2022 Napoli Napoli 6-1 HT 4-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
01.12.2021 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2-2 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
03.03.2021 Sassuolo Sassuolo 3-3 HT 2-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo
1-6
AWAY Napoli
0.33 xG 2.71
28% Ball Possession 72%
5 Total Shots 27
2 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 10
189 Passes 657
71% Pass Accuracy 92%
14 Box Touches 45
16 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH Sassuolo vs Napoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli ran out comfortable winners over Sassuolo 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sassuolo had 28% of the ball to Napoli's 72%, shots finished 5-27, expected goals 0.33 to 2.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sassuolo and 3.17 for Napoli.

What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Napoli?

Sassuolo 1-6 Napoli in the Italy - Serie A on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Napoli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 27%, draw 24%, Napoli 49%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Napoli) ✓ Over 2.5
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