Inter 4-0 Atalanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 28 Feb 2024

Inter
4-0 HT 2-0
Atalanta
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Inter vs Atalanta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.07
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
18%
3.89
X/2
6%
10.25
X/X
9%
5.43
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.7
2/2
10%
7.89
2/X
8%
15.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inter v Atalanta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.24/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.72
+20% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
464 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
22.9 Crosses 14.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

Inter vs Atalanta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Atalanta
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.13 xG 1.38
52% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
412 Passes 359
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 1-2 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
27.05.2023 Inter Inter 3-2 HT 2-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
31.01.2023 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTK
13.11.2022 Atalanta Atalanta 2-3 HT 1-1 Inter Inter İTA
16.01.2022 Atalanta Atalanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
25.09.2021 Inter Inter 2-2 HT 1-2 Atalanta Atalanta İTA

Inter 4-0 Atalanta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
4-0
AWAY Atalanta
2.05 xG 0.31
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
529 Passes 352
90% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Inter vs Atalanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter swept aside Atalanta 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Inter had 59% of the ball to Atalanta's 41%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 2.05 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Inter and 1.17 for Atalanta.

What was the final score of Inter vs Atalanta?

Inter 4-0 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Atalanta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Inter 53%, draw 24%, Atalanta 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
28 Feb 2024
20:00 Sassuolo vs Napoli Analysis →