Cittadella vs Pergolettese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Cittadella v Pergolettese — Team-Based Signals
Cittadella vs Pergolettese Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Cittadella 3-3 Pergolettese — Actual Match Statistics
a 3-3 draw left Cittadella and Pergolettese with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-1. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.
We leaned Cittadella at 53% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.66, about 60% — so the upset beat the price as well as us. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Cittadella had 66% of the ball to Pergolettese's 34%, shots finished 13-4.
Cittadella vs Pergolettese Result & Final Score
Cittadella 3-3 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Cittadella vs Pergolettese Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 53%, draw 28%, Pergolettese 19%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.