Trento AC vs Novara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Trento AC v Novara — Team-Based Signals
Trento AC vs Novara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Trento AC 1-1 Novara — Actual Match Statistics
Trento AC and Novara couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
A gentle 43% lean on Trento AC didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. Small consolation: at 2.00 (roughly 50%) the price was further off than we were.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.82, about 55%.
Under the surface, Novara saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 9-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Trento AC against 1.50 for Novara.
Trento AC vs Novara Result & Final Score
Trento AC 1-1 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Trento AC vs Novara Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Trento AC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Trento AC 43%, draw 26%, Novara 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trento AC) went the other way.