Novara 3-0 Trento AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
4.79
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.8pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novara EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Trento AC EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
1.13/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.80
-2% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novara
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Trento AC
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2024 Trento AC Trento AC 1-3 HT 1-1 Novara Novara İTC
21.01.2024 Trento AC Trento AC 1-1 HT 0-1 Novara Novara İTC
17.09.2023 Novara Novara 0-3 HT 0-1 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
22.04.2023 Trento AC Trento AC 2-1 HT 2-1 Novara Novara İTC
17.12.2022 Novara Novara 1-1 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novara
3-0
AWAY Trento AC
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novara vs Trento AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novara swept aside Trento AC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Novara found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Novara had 42% of the ball to Trento AC's 58%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Trento AC led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Novara and 1.60 for Trento AC.

What was the final score of Novara vs Trento AC?

Novara 3-0 Trento AC in the Italy - Serie C on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novara vs Trento AC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trento AC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Novara 34%, draw 29%, Trento AC 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Trento AC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trento AC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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