GIANA Erminio 1-1 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.9
6+ Goals
9%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +18%
1.30/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.90
-1% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
308 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIANA Erminio
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Virtus Verona
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-1 HT 0-1 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
16.03.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
11.11.2023 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 4-0 HT 3-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
20.02.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-1 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
17.10.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 1-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
21.08.2021 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 2-2 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
1-1
AWAY Virtus Verona
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio and Virtus Verona couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was GIANA Erminio at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 54% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 46%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, GIANA Erminio had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for GIANA Erminio and 0.83 for Virtus Verona.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Virtus Verona?

GIANA Erminio 1-1 Virtus Verona in the Italy - Serie C on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 42%, draw 27%, Virtus Verona 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (GIANA Erminio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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