Atalanta II 1-3 Arzignano Valchiampo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 29% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.0pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -12%
1.69/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.90
+19% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 3-1 HT 2-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
22.12.2023 Atalanta II Atalanta II 0-0 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
1-3
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs Arzignano Valchiampo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arzignano Valchiampo got the better of Atalanta II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Atalanta II at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atalanta II had 48% of the ball to Arzignano Valchiampo's 52%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arzignano Valchiampo led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atalanta II and 1.50 for Arzignano Valchiampo.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Atalanta II 1-3 Arzignano Valchiampo in the Italy - Serie C on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 49%, draw 26%, Arzignano Valchiampo 25%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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