Arzignano Valchiampo 3-1 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.72
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.1
6+ Goals
9%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.0pp
41%
Away Win
35%
+6.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.02/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.81
-12% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +36%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Atalanta II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.12.2023 Atalanta II Atalanta II 0-0 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
3-1
AWAY Atalanta II
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arzignano Valchiampo vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arzignano Valchiampo got the better of Atalanta II 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Atalanta II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arzignano Valchiampo had 29% of the ball to Atalanta II's 71%, shots finished 11-17.

What was the final score of Arzignano Valchiampo vs Atalanta II?

Arzignano Valchiampo 3-1 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arzignano Valchiampo 34%, draw 25%, Atalanta II 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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