Crotone vs Casertana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crotone v Casertana — Team-Based Signals
Crotone vs Casertana Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Crotone
İTC
Crotone 2-3 Casertana — Actual Match Statistics
Casertana edged past Crotone 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Crotone at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Crotone had 54% of the ball to Casertana's 46%, shots finished 14-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Crotone and 0.50 for Casertana.
What was the final score of Crotone vs Casertana?
Crotone 2-3 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crotone vs Casertana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Crotone 47%, draw 26%, Casertana 27%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.