Virtus Entella 4-1 Pineto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
28%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
5.22
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
57%
-15.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
28%
Away Win
17%
+11.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
38%
+9.8pp
53%
BTTS No
62%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pineto EU Bookmakers 20%
+6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +17%
1.63/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.26
+3% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Entella
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Pineto
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2024 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-0 HT 0-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
08.09.2023 Pineto Pineto 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Entella
4-1
AWAY Pineto
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Virtus Entella vs Pineto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella swept aside Pineto 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Virtus Entella as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Virtus Entella had 45% of the ball to Pineto's 55%, shots finished 10-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Virtus Entella and 0.00 for Pineto.

What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Pineto?

Virtus Entella 4-1 Pineto in the Italy - Serie C on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs Pineto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 42%, draw 30%, Pineto 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus Entella) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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