Milan II 1-0 Gubbio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.14
6+ Goals
8%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Gubbio EU Bookmakers 38%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.00/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.04
+73% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan II
1-0
AWAY Gubbio
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Milan II vs Gubbio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan II nicked a narrow win over Gubbio 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Milan II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Milan II had 53% of the ball to Gubbio's 47%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Milan II vs Gubbio?

Milan II 1-0 Gubbio in the Italy - Serie C on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan II vs Gubbio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Milan II 37%, draw 28%, Gubbio 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Milan II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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