Picerno 2-0 Torre Neapolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.22
6+ Goals
10%
21.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 33% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.3pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Torre Neapolis EU Bookmakers 19%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.98/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.58
+13% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
431 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Torre Neapolis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2024 Picerno Picerno 1-0 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
25.09.2023 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 1-3 HT 1-2 Picerno Picerno İTC
22.01.2023 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 1-1 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
18.09.2022 Picerno Picerno 0-1 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
23.01.2022 Picerno Picerno 0-1 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
19.09.2021 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 0-1 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
2-0
AWAY Torre Neapolis
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Picerno vs Torre Neapolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Picerno beat Torre Neapolis 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Picerno as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Picerno had 52% of the ball to Torre Neapolis's 48%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Picerno had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Picerno and 0.67 for Torre Neapolis.

What was the final score of Picerno vs Torre Neapolis?

Picerno 2-0 Torre Neapolis in the Italy - Serie C on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs Torre Neapolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Picerno win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Picerno 52%, draw 30%, Torre Neapolis 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Picerno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Picerno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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