Picerno 1-0 Torre Neapolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.35
6+ Goals
11%
22.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Torre Neapolis EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -15%
1.73/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.85
+9% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Torre Neapolis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2023 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 1-3 HT 1-2 Picerno Picerno İTC
22.01.2023 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 1-1 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
18.09.2022 Picerno Picerno 0-1 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
23.01.2022 Picerno Picerno 0-1 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
19.09.2021 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 0-1 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
1-0
AWAY Torre Neapolis
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Picerno vs Torre Neapolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Picerno nicked a narrow win over Torre Neapolis 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Picerno as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Picerno had 63% of the ball to Torre Neapolis's 37%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Picerno and 0.80 for Torre Neapolis.

What was the final score of Picerno vs Torre Neapolis?

Picerno 1-0 Torre Neapolis in the Italy - Serie C on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs Torre Neapolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Picerno win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Picerno 50%, draw 27%, Torre Neapolis 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Picerno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Picerno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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