Vis Pesaro 1-3 Gubbio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Feb 2024

Vis Pesaro
1-3 HT 1-2
Gubbio
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Vis Pesaro vs Gubbio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.13
No
48%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.17
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.69
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+6.6pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.6pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
43%
+9.4pp
48%
BTTS No
57%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vis Pesaro v Gubbio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gubbio EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
0.78/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.79
-29% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
230 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Vis Pesaro vs Gubbio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vis Pesaro
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gubbio
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 1-0 HT 1-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
01.04.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 3-0 HT 1-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
29.11.2022 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 0-4 HT 0-3 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
06.03.2022 Gubbio Gubbio 3-0 HT 2-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
23.10.2021 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
27.02.2021 Gubbio Gubbio 1-1 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC

Vis Pesaro 1-3 Gubbio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vis Pesaro
1-3
AWAY Gubbio
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vis Pesaro vs Gubbio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gubbio beat Vis Pesaro 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Gubbio found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vis Pesaro had 51% of the ball to Gubbio's 49%, shots finished 13-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gubbio led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Vis Pesaro and 2.00 for Gubbio.

What was the final score of Vis Pesaro vs Gubbio?

Vis Pesaro 1-3 Gubbio in the Italy - Serie C on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vis Pesaro vs Gubbio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gubbio win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 35%, draw 28%, Gubbio 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gubbio), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gubbio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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