US Latina 0-1 SSC Giugliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
4.33
6+ Goals
10%
22.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.3pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Latina EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.09/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.49
-19% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Latina
2W-2D-0L
AWAY SSC Giugliano
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 1-2 HT 0-1 US Latina US Latina İTCK
25.09.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 0-3 HT 0-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
22.01.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 1-1 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
18.09.2022 US Latina US Latina 2-2 HT 0-2 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Latina
0-1
AWAY SSC Giugliano
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH US Latina vs SSC Giugliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Giugliano squeezed past US Latina 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was US Latina at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, US Latina had 60% of the ball to SSC Giugliano's 40%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, US Latina had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for US Latina and 1.00 for SSC Giugliano.

What was the final score of US Latina vs SSC Giugliano?

US Latina 0-1 SSC Giugliano in the Italy - Serie C on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Latina vs SSC Giugliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Latina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split US Latina 44%, draw 24%, SSC Giugliano 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (US Latina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (US Latina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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