Pro Patria 4-1 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.7
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.0pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.14/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.19
-6% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
293 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lumezzane
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-1 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
09.03.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 0-2 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
03.11.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-2 HT 0-2 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
10.10.2015 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-1 HT 1-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
30.05.2015 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-2 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
23.05.2015 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-0 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
4-1
AWAY Lumezzane
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria swept aside Lumezzane 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Pro Patria made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pro Patria had 49% of the ball to Lumezzane's 51%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lumezzane led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pro Patria and 1.33 for Lumezzane.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Lumezzane?

Pro Patria 4-1 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pro Patria win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 38%, draw 32%, Lumezzane 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pro Patria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pro Patria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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