Lumezzane 1-1 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Dec 2024

Lumezzane
1-1 HT 1-0
Pro Patria
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2025/2026

Lumezzane vs Pro Patria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.51
Over 2.5
34%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.09
No
65%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.21
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
5.32
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.21 — our 41% vs market 37.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.7pp
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.4pp
65%
BTTS No
56%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lumezzane v Pro Patria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.23/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.08
-5% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Lumezzane vs Pro Patria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Pro Patria
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 0-2 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
03.11.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-2 HT 0-2 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
10.10.2015 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-1 HT 1-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
30.05.2015 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-2 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
23.05.2015 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-0 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
15.03.2015 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-0 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC

Lumezzane 1-1 Pro Patria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
1-1
AWAY Pro Patria
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane and Pro Patria shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Lumezzane had 36% of the ball to Pro Patria's 64%, shots finished 3-23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lumezzane had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lumezzane and 0.67 for Pro Patria.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Pro Patria?

Lumezzane 1-1 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lumezzane win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 36%, draw 30%, Pro Patria 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lumezzane), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lumezzane) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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