Pianese 1-3 Ternana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.08
6+ Goals
12%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pianese EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ternana EU Bookmakers 55%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +23%
2.06/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.76
+94% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pianese
1-3
AWAY Ternana
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pianese vs Ternana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana got the better of Pianese 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ternana as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pianese had 59% of the ball to Ternana's 41%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of Pianese vs Ternana?

Pianese 1-3 Ternana in the Italy - Serie C on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pianese vs Ternana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pianese 26%, draw 25%, Ternana 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ternana), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ternana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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