Pergolettese 0-1 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
25%
2.88
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.2
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
5.36
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
31%
-5.9pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.47/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.04
+22% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pergolettese
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Renate
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 Renate Renate 1-5 HT 1-2 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
16.09.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
12.03.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 3-0 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
06.11.2022 Renate Renate 0-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
16.04.2022 Renate Renate 1-2 HT 1-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
12.12.2021 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pergolettese
0-1
AWAY Renate
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pergolettese vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate squeezed past Pergolettese 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Renate found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pergolettese had 49% of the ball to Renate's 51%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pergolettese had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Pergolettese and 0.33 for Renate.

What was the final score of Pergolettese vs Renate?

Pergolettese 0-1 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pergolettese vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pergolettese win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pergolettese 40%, draw 25%, Renate 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pergolettese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pergolettese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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