Renate vs Pergolettese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Renate v Pergolettese — Team-Based Signals
Renate vs Pergolettese Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Renate
İTC
3-0
HT 1-0
Renate
İTC
0-0
HT 0-0
Pergolettese
İTC
1-2
HT 1-1
Pergolettese
İTC
1-0
HT 0-0
Renate
İTC
2-0
HT 1-0
Pergolettese
İTC
Renate 1-5 Pergolettese — Actual Match Statistics
Pergolettese swept aside Renate 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Renate at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Renate had 47% of the ball to Pergolettese's 53%, shots finished 3-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pergolettese led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Renate and 1.00 for Pergolettese.
What was the final score of Renate vs Pergolettese?
Renate 1-5 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Renate vs Pergolettese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Renate win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Renate 41%, draw 29%, Pergolettese 30%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.