Lumezzane 2-1 Vicenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.26
2-3 Goals
34%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.95
6+ Goals
9%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.2pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Vicenza EU Bookmakers 55%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -25%
0.95/0.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.36
+4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -36%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
240 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Vicenza
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 1-0 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
16.03.2014 Vicenza Vicenza 2-1 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
2-1
AWAY Vicenza
32% Ball Possession 68%
14 Total Shots 26
7 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Vicenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane squeezed past Vicenza 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vicenza at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lumezzane had 32% of the ball to Vicenza's 68%, shots finished 14-26.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vicenza led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lumezzane and 1.50 for Vicenza.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Vicenza?

Lumezzane 2-1 Vicenza in the Italy - Serie C on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Vicenza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 27%, draw 24%, Vicenza 49%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vicenza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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