Pro Vercelli 1-2 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.27
6+ Goals
10%
22.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 45%
+13% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
1.04/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.91
-4% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Vercelli
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Triestina
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.09.2023 Triestina Triestina 2-0 HT 1-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
21.01.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 2-1 HT 2-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
17.09.2022 Triestina Triestina 1-1 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
10.04.2022 Triestina Triestina 4-2 HT 1-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
05.12.2021 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-2 HT 0-1 Triestina Triestina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Vercelli
1-2
AWAY Triestina
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pro Vercelli vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triestina squeezed past Pro Vercelli 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Triestina as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pro Vercelli had 51% of the ball to Triestina's 49%, shots finished 15-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Triestina led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Pro Vercelli and 2.00 for Triestina.

What was the final score of Pro Vercelli vs Triestina?

Pro Vercelli 1-2 Triestina in the Italy - Serie C on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Vercelli vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pro Vercelli 30%, draw 28%, Triestina 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triestina) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Triestina) ✗ Under 2.5
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