Rimini 5-1 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.22
6+ Goals
8%
21.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 34% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.7pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rimini EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.75/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.09
+24% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rimini
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Pontedera
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2024 Rimini Rimini 3-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
16.10.2023 Pontedera Pontedera 4-0 HT 3-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
11.05.2023 Pontedera Pontedera 2-1 HT 2-1 Rimini Rimini İTC
11.03.2023 Rimini Rimini 1-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
05.11.2022 Pontedera Pontedera 1-0 HT 1-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
10.10.2015 Pontedera Pontedera 6-0 HT 3-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rimini
5-1
AWAY Pontedera
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rimini vs Pontedera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rimini swept aside Pontedera 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rimini as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rimini had 42% of the ball to Pontedera's 58%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pontedera led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rimini and 2.50 for Pontedera.

What was the final score of Rimini vs Pontedera?

Rimini 5-1 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rimini vs Pontedera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rimini win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rimini 45%, draw 30%, Pontedera 25%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rimini) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rimini) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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