Rimini 3-1 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.78
6+ Goals
10%
16.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+6.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rimini EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera EU Bookmakers 36%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +25%
1.51/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.10
+24% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rimini
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Pontedera
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
16.10.2023 Pontedera Pontedera 4-0 HT 3-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
11.05.2023 Pontedera Pontedera 2-1 HT 2-1 Rimini Rimini İTC
11.03.2023 Rimini Rimini 1-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
05.11.2022 Pontedera Pontedera 1-0 HT 1-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
10.10.2015 Pontedera Pontedera 6-0 HT 3-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rimini
3-1
AWAY Pontedera
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rimini vs Pontedera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rimini beat Pontedera 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Rimini found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rimini had 63% of the ball to Pontedera's 37%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pontedera led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Rimini and 2.80 for Pontedera.

What was the final score of Rimini vs Pontedera?

Rimini 3-1 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rimini vs Pontedera?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontedera win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rimini 36%, draw 26%, Pontedera 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pontedera) ✗ BTTS No
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